What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NC-09 House winner? Polls & election odds

chance of YES62% -7.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

69–84%

30d -13 pts · 7d -12 pts

24h volume

71.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

153.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

62¢ / 63¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 62.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:33 AM ET	NO	37¢	4,533	$2K
Oct 31, 2:26 AM ET	NO	32¢	14,918	$5K
Oct 31, 12:01 AM ET	YES	69¢	3,525	$2K
Oct 30, 5:50 PM ET	YES	71¢	31,371	$22K
Oct 30, 10:58 AM ET	NO	32¢	7,339	$2K
Oct 29, 8:34 AM ET	NO	31¢	10,256	$3K
Oct 28, 9:12 AM ET	YES	65¢	3,639	$2K
Oct 28, 6:52 AM ET	NO	30¢	24,777	$7K
Oct 28, 2:54 AM ET	YES	74¢	3,997	$3K
Oct 26, 11:07 PM ET	YES	70¢	4,282	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.