K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-04?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NJ-04 House winner? Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES5% +0.8pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–6%
· 7d +55 pts
24h volume
27.9K
$1 contracts
Open interest
32.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
spread 0.4¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
4.4¢ 104 4.8¢ 26
4.3¢ 226 4.9¢ 122
4.2¢ 26 5.0¢ 175
4.1¢ 1 5.1¢ 2
4.0¢ 105 5.2¢ 2

Mid 4.6¢ · spread 0.4¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Chris Smith95%57.5K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO95¢ 25,000$24K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.