Will Republican win the House race for NJ-04?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (368d) All outcomes: NJ-04 House winner? Polls & election odds

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Preview
chance of YES95% -0.9pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
92–98%
· 7d -3 pts
24h volume
57.5K
$1 contracts
Open interest
59.1K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
95¢ / 95¢
spread 0.3¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
95.1¢ 2 95.4¢ 11
95.0¢ 1 95.5¢ 17
94.3¢ 14 95.6¢ 16
94.2¢ 104 95.7¢ 58
94.1¢ 1,800 95.8¢ 3

Mid 95.2¢ · spread 0.3¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES95¢ 55,486$53K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.