Will Republican win the House race for NJ-04?
chance of YES95%
-0.9pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
92–98%
24h volume
57.5K
Open interest
59.1K
Bid / ask
95¢ / 95¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 95.1¢ | 2 | 95.4¢ | 11 |
| 95.0¢ | 1 | 95.5¢ | 17 |
| 94.3¢ | 14 | 95.6¢ | 16 |
| 94.2¢ | 104 | 95.7¢ | 58 |
| 94.1¢ | 1,800 | 95.8¢ | 3 |
Mid 95.2¢ · spread 0.3¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Rachel Peace5%27.9K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 95¢ | 55,486 | $53K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.