What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

chance of YES50%

Price range (120d)

23–99%

30d +141 pts · 7d +175 pts

24h volume

—

$1 contracts

Open interest

12.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.