Will there be more than 4 major Atlantic hurricanes in 2026?

Settles Dec 02, 2026 (31d) All outcomes: How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–14%
30d -92 pts · 7d -50 pts
24h volume
—
$1 contracts
Open interest
5.0K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 050%—
Above 119%1.9K
Above 24%206
Above 32%103
Above 50%—
Above 70%—

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 1,204$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.