What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Before Dec 31, 2026

chance of YES2%

Price range (120d)

1–69%

· 7d -86 pts

24h volume

356

$1 contracts

Open interest

13.4K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

2¢ / 6¢

spread 4.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 4.0¢ · spread 4.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 10, 1:55 AM ET	NO	99¢	3,092	$3K
Oct 10, 1:54 AM ET	NO	68¢	1,983	$1K
Oct 9, 10:46 PM ET	YES	78¢	2,549	$2K
Oct 9, 10:43 PM ET	YES	50¢	2,962	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.