What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Olana

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume — Open interest 36 Event What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?

18%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 49% · Low 9%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.