What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Avigdor Lieberman

Closes Oct 27, 2027 (497d) 24h volume 109 Open interest 2.0K Event Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

10%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 16% · Low 2% · 7d -18.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.