Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
chance of YES26%
-3.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
22–38%
24h volume
58.9K
Open interest
399.7K
Bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.0¢ | 363 | 26.0¢ | 4,428 |
| 24.0¢ | 5,172 | 27.0¢ | 4,744 |
| 23.0¢ | 223 | 28.0¢ | 15,279 |
| 22.0¢ | 376 | 29.0¢ | 30,030 |
| 21.0¢ | 72 | 30.0¢ | 35,555 |
Mid 25.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 31¢ | 7,620 | $2K | |
| YES | 32¢ | 5,000 | $2K | |
| NO | 68¢ | 3,191 | $2K | |
| YES | 30¢ | 16,399 | $5K | |
| YES | 29¢ | 14,661 | $4K | |
| YES | 29¢ | 12,962 | $4K | |
| NO | 73¢ | 1,500 | $1K | |
| YES | 35¢ | 5,965 | $2K | |
| NO | 69¢ | 1,500 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.
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