What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu

Closes Oct 27, 2027 (497d) 24h volume 129 Open interest 7.4K Event Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

32%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 53 days · High 51% · Low 12% · 7d +6.1pp · 30d -14.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.