What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 27, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gadi Eizenkot

Closes Oct 27, 2027 (474d) 24h volume 113 Open interest 4.9K Event Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

46%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 54% · Low 12% · 7d -1.9pp · 30d +136.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.