What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Sarksian vs Zhang

chance of YES100%

Price range (3h)

42–67%

24h volume

207.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

100.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$47K

89% on YES

hourly, 3h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 5, 1:51 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,018	$2K
Nov 5, 1:51 AM ET	YES	98¢	2,991	$3K
Nov 5, 1:50 AM ET	YES	98¢	1,425	$1K
Nov 5, 1:50 AM ET	YES	98¢	4,268	$4K
Nov 5, 1:48 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,836	$2K
Nov 5, 1:45 AM ET	YES	98¢	7,132	$7K
Nov 5, 1:45 AM ET	YES	98¢	6,300	$6K
Nov 5, 1:44 AM ET	YES	98¢	2,321	$2K
Nov 5, 1:31 AM ET	YES	66¢	2,953	$2K
Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET	YES	67¢	7,265	$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.