What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Sarksian vs Zhang

chance of YES0%

Price range (5h)

32–59%

24h volume

260.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

155.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$37K

70% on YES

hourly, 5h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 5, 1:44 AM ET	NO	98¢	1,925	$2K
Nov 5, 1:43 AM ET	NO	97¢	3,287	$3K
Nov 5, 1:33 AM ET	YES	25¢	7,701	$2K
Nov 5, 1:32 AM ET	NO	81¢	1,727	$1K
Nov 5, 1:31 AM ET	YES	48¢	4,026	$2K
Nov 5, 1:28 AM ET	YES	42¢	4,333	$2K
Nov 5, 1:27 AM ET	YES	41¢	4,220	$2K
Nov 5, 1:25 AM ET	YES	46¢	4,166	$2K
Nov 5, 1:25 AM ET	NO	54¢	3,622	$2K
Nov 5, 1:24 AM ET	NO	50¢	2,206	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.