What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Arcon vs Omarkhanov

chance of YES6%

Price range (17h)

4–7%

24h volume

43.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

35.1K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

5¢ / 7¢

spread 2.0¢

hourly, 17h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 6.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 10:28 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,100	$1K
Nov 4, 8:30 PM ET	NO	96¢	5,000	$5K
Nov 4, 8:29 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,100	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.