What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 19, 2026 (13d) All outcomes: Arcon vs Omarkhanov

chance of YES92%

Price range (17h)

94–97%

24h volume

3.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 17h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.