K KalshiEconomy & Fed

At least 205,000: How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 31, 2026?

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026 Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES10% +2.0pp in 24h
Price range (30h)
7–13%
24h volume
595
$1 contracts
Open interest
923
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

At least 185,00094%1
At least 190,00082%100
At least 195,00060%484
At least 200,00028%2.3K
At least 210,0002%174