What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Morgan Stanley

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume — Open interest 3.5K Event Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?

8%

implied YES probability

Last 23 days · High 74% · Low 7% · 7d -85.1pp

MS Morgan Stanley

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.