What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 9%, implying a 9% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Claudia Sheinbaum

Closes Jan 02, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 106 Open interest 53.9K Event Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

implied YES probability

-0.8pp 24h

Last 58 days · High 15% · Low 2% · 7d +54.7pp · 30d +34.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.