Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 2 percentage points?
chance of YES95%
-1.8pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
80–96%
24h volume
11
Open interest
4.8K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Ossoff, 4+ pts89%600
Ossoff, 6+ pts84%163
Ossoff, 8+ pts71%312
Ossoff, 10+ pts48%4.8K
Ossoff, 12+ pts30%312
Ossoff, 14+ pts18%80
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 95¢ | 1,907 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.