Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?
chance of YES82%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
60–85%
24h volume
163
Open interest
13.0K
Large orders (14d)
$6K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Ossoff, 2+ pts95%11
Ossoff, 4+ pts89%600
Ossoff, 8+ pts67%312
Ossoff, 10+ pts47%4.8K
Ossoff, 12+ pts30%312
Ossoff, 14+ pts17%80
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 82¢ | 1,556 | $1K | |
| YES | 79¢ | 4,228 | $3K | |
| YES | 77¢ | 1,457 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.