Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 6 percentage points?

Ossoff, 6+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Georgia Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES82% -3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
60–85%
30d +27 pts · 7d +13 pts
24h volume
163
$1 contracts
Open interest
13.0K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$6K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES82¢ 1,556$1K
YES79¢ 4,228$3K
YES77¢ 1,457$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.