K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Georgia be at least 8 percentage points?

Ossoff, 8+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Georgia Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES71% -6.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
38–69%
30d +82 pts · 7d +6 pts
24h volume
312
$1 contracts
Open interest
11.6K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$4K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Ossoff, 2+ pts95%11
Ossoff, 4+ pts89%600
Ossoff, 6+ pts84%163
Ossoff, 10+ pts48%4.8K
Ossoff, 12+ pts30%312
Ossoff, 14+ pts18%80
Ossoff, 18+ pts6%9

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES64¢ 3,500$2K
YES63¢ 2,112$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.