Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 11 percentage points?

Settles Nov 03, 2027 (363d) All outcomes: Mississippi Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES0%
Price range (120d)
0–49%
30d -100 pts · 7d -99 pts
24h volume
1.8K
$1 contracts
Open interest
23.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$22K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 1,200$1K
NO98¢ 11,687$11K
NO79¢ 12,000$9K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.