Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 11 percentage points?
chance of YES48%
+2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
11–48%
24h volume
1.1K
Open interest
11.1K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Cooper, 5+ pts82%118
Cooper, 7+ pts74%7
Cooper, 9+ pts64%2.3K
Cooper, 13+ pts30%568
Cooper, 15+ pts17%44
Cooper, 17+ pts9%15
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 56¢ | 2,784 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.