K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 5 percentage points?

Cooper, 5+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: North Carolina Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES82%
Price range (120d)
60–84%
30d +19 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
118
$1 contracts
Open interest
10.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Cooper, 7+ pts74%7
Cooper, 9+ pts64%2.3K
Cooper, 11+ pts48%1.1K
Cooper, 13+ pts30%568
Cooper, 15+ pts17%44
Cooper, 17+ pts9%15

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES82¢ 3,175$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.