Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in North Carolina be at least 7 percentage points?

Cooper, 7+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: North Carolina Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES74% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
25–75%
30d +42 pts · 7d +1 pts
24h volume
7
$1 contracts
Open interest
8.0K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$2K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES69¢ 2,281$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.