What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democrats, 12+ pts

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (481d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 106 Event New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

30%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 30% · Low 28%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.