Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 4 percentage points?

Pappas, 4+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: New Hampshire Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES76% -1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
57–80%
30d +13 pts · 7d +1 pts
24h volume
2
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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