Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 4 percentage points?
chance of YES76%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
57–80%
24h volume
2
Open interest
7.1K
Large orders (14d)
—
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
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Pappas, 10+ pts30%517
Pappas, 12+ pts20%1
Pappas, 14+ pts12%1