K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 6 percentage points?

Pappas, 6+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: New Hampshire Senate margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES64% -2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
39–68%
30d +36 pts · 7d +11 pts
24h volume
1.9K
$1 contracts
Open interest
7.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
100% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Pappas, 4+ pts76%2
Pappas, 8+ pts46%30
Pappas, 10+ pts30%517
Pappas, 12+ pts20%1
Pappas, 14+ pts12%1

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
YES68¢ 1,842$1K
YES68¢ 2,433$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.