Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?
chance of YES66%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
30–96%
24h volume
1.1K
Open interest
26.5K
Large orders (14d)
—
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Abbott, 1+ pts76%1.3K
Abbott, 6+ pts38%711
Abbott, 9+ pts14%141
Abbott, 12+ pts7%41
Abbott, 15+ pts4%240
Abbott, 21+ pts2%241