Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 3 percentage points?

Abbott, 3+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Texas Governor margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES66% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
30–96%
30d -4 pts · 7d +6 pts
24h volume
1.1K
$1 contracts
Open interest
26.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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