K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 6 percentage points?

Abbott, 6+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Texas Governor margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES38% -0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
13–57%
30d -9 pts · 7d -7 pts
24h volume
711
$1 contracts
Open interest
26.8K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$4K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Abbott, 1+ pts76%1.3K
Abbott, 3+ pts66%1.1K
Abbott, 9+ pts14%141
Abbott, 12+ pts7%41
Abbott, 15+ pts4%240
Abbott, 21+ pts2%241

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO54¢ 8,054$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.