Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Texas be at least 9 percentage points?

Abbott, 9+ pts
Settles Nov 03, 2027 (379d) All outcomes: Texas Governor margin of victory Polls & election odds

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chance of YES14% -2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
12–39%
30d -21 pts · 7d -25 pts
24h volume
141
$1 contracts
Open interest
11.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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