James Madison wins by over 9.5 points
chance of YES55%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
54–56%
24h volume
39.9K
Open interest
40.7K
Bid / ask
54¢ / 55¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54.0¢ | 28,296 | 55.0¢ | 10,142 |
| 53.0¢ | 8,576 | 56.0¢ | 10,087 |
| 52.0¢ | 11,676 | 57.0¢ | 3,292 |
| 51.0¢ | 7,159 | 58.0¢ | 18,451 |
| 50.0¢ | 2,000 | 59.0¢ | 1,730 |
Mid 54.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 55¢ | 2,223 | $1K | |
| YES | 55¢ | 3,522 | $2K | |
| NO | 45¢ | 4,150 | $2K | |
| YES | 54¢ | 3,397 | $2K | |
| YES | 54¢ | 13,340 | $7K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.