James Madison wins by over 10.5 points
chance of YES52%
+2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
49–53%
24h volume
88.7K
Open interest
95.2K
Bid / ask
52¢ / 53¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52.0¢ | 808,966 | 53.0¢ | 8,937 |
| 51.0¢ | 455,105 | 54.0¢ | 17,340 |
| 50.0¢ | 83,962 | 55.0¢ | 442,040 |
| 49.0¢ | 5,961 | 56.0¢ | 432,031 |
| 48.0¢ | 12,833 | 57.0¢ | 56,744 |
Mid 52.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 52¢ | 5,568 | $3K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 8,000 | $4K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 4,866 | $3K | |
| YES | 52¢ | 2,232 | $1K | |
| NO | 49¢ | 3,100 | $2K | |
| NO | 49¢ | 3,100 | $2K | |
| NO | 49¢ | 3,000 | $1K | |
| YES | 51¢ | 2,590 | $1K | |
| YES | 51¢ | 3,250 | $2K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 3,000 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.