James Madison wins by over 13.5 points
chance of YES44%
+0.5pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
43–58%
24h volume
12.7K
Open interest
14.2K
Large orders (14d)
$4K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 45¢ | 2,301 | $1K | |
| YES | 45¢ | 3,210 | $1K | |
| YES | 44¢ | 4,106 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.