James Madison wins by over 11.5 points
chance of YES52%
+3.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
48–50%
24h volume
125.5K
Open interest
201.5K
Bid / ask
51¢ / 52¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0¢ | 309,518 | 52.0¢ | 344,633 |
| 50.0¢ | 529,637 | 53.0¢ | 565,939 |
| 49.0¢ | 225,459 | 54.0¢ | 194,073 |
| 48.0¢ | 53,446 | 55.0¢ | 59,831 |
| 47.0¢ | 27,036 | 56.0¢ | 12,721 |
Mid 51.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 51¢ | 5,650 | $3K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 4,569 | $2K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 65,000 | $32K | |
| YES | 50¢ | 2,073 | $1K | |
| NO | 50¢ | 4,800 | $2K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 5,040 | $2K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 3,288 | $2K | |
| NO | 52¢ | 9,302 | $5K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 10,000 | $5K | |
| NO | 51¢ | 4,100 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.