James Madison wins by over 11.5 points
chance of YES50%
+1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
48–50%
24h volume
46.7K
Open interest
123.1K
Bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0¢ | 579,589 | 50.0¢ | 65,421 |
| 48.0¢ | 336,484 | 51.0¢ | 178,000 |
| 47.0¢ | 38,941 | 52.0¢ | 445,819 |
| 46.0¢ | 23,754 | 53.0¢ | 192,053 |
| 45.0¢ | 18,557 | 54.0¢ | 52,845 |
Mid 49.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 50¢ | 2,073 | $1K | |
| NO | 50¢ | 4,800 | $2K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 5,040 | $2K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 3,288 | $2K | |
| NO | 52¢ | 9,302 | $5K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 10,000 | $5K | |
| NO | 51¢ | 4,100 | $2K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 7,988 | $4K | |
| YES | 49¢ | 55,948 | $27K | |
| YES | 48¢ | 13,024 | $6K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.