Will Danielle Alvarez be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?
chance of YES4%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–6%
24h volume
2.4K
Open interest
124.8K
Bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0¢ | 142,820 | 3.0¢ | 23,936 |
| 1.0¢ | 28,157 | 4.0¢ | 11 |
| 5.0¢ | 10,000 | ||
| 23.0¢ | 24 | ||
| 25.0¢ | 20 |
Mid 2.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
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Katie Miller2%1.0K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 95¢ | 2,144 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 3,289 | $3K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 3,273 | $3K | |
| NO | 98¢ | 1,404 | $1K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 1,468 | $1K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 6,370 | $6K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 3,465 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.