What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 27, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Jan 27, 2029 (819d) All outcomes: Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? Polls & election odds

chance of YES2% +1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

1–2%

· 7d +100 pts

24h volume

13.6K

$1 contracts

Open interest

62.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$12K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 1:07 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,526	$3K
Oct 19, 3:36 PM ET	NO	99¢	8,156	$8K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.