Arizona wins
chance of YES22%
+6.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
15–23%
24h volume
532.3K
Open interest
539.6K
Bid / ask
21¢ / 22¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.0¢ | 125,883 | 22.0¢ | 21,918 |
| 20.0¢ | 343,311 | 23.0¢ | 561,890 |
| 19.0¢ | 4,164 | 24.0¢ | 120,333 |
| 18.0¢ | 14,926 | 25.0¢ | 18,837 |
| 17.0¢ | 25,689 | 26.0¢ | 64,143 |
Mid 21.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Seattle78%30.9K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 78¢ | 1,351 | $1K | |
| YES | 21¢ | 27,281 | $6K | |
| YES | 24¢ | 5,775 | $1K | |
| YES | 19¢ | 7,407 | $1K | |
| YES | 18¢ | 41,902 | $8K | |
| YES | 15¢ | 339,801 | $51K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.