What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: Arizona vs Seattle

chance of YES78% -6.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

78–86%

24h volume

30.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

43.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$16K

94% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Arizona22%532.3K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 4, 1:58 PM ET	YES	79¢	3,000	$2K
Nov 4, 1:48 PM ET	YES	84¢	1,485	$1K
Nov 4, 1:48 PM ET	YES	79¢	5,282	$4K
Nov 4, 1:48 PM ET	NO	17¢	6,186	$1K
Nov 4, 10:55 AM ET	YES	85¢	2,500	$2K
Nov 2, 10:31 AM ET	YES	84¢	1,701	$1K
Nov 1, 5:39 PM ET	YES	84¢	1,772	$1K
Nov 1, 9:46 AM ET	YES	87¢	2,738	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.