What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Nashville vs Vegas

chance of YES44% +10.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

21–99%

24h volume

639.8K

$1 contracts

Open interest

503.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$110K

70% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Vegas56%791.3K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	YES	99¢	1,235	$1K
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	YES	99¢	4,950	$5K
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	YES	91¢	3,000	$3K
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	YES	86¢	1,842	$2K
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	YES	75¢	2,051	$2K
Nov 14, 12:55 AM ET	NO	52¢	2,202	$1K
Nov 14, 12:54 AM ET	YES	35¢	2,931	$1K
Nov 14, 12:53 AM ET	YES	28¢	5,008	$1K
Nov 14, 12:53 AM ET	NO	52¢	2,652	$1K
Nov 14, 12:53 AM ET	NO	53¢	3,585	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.