What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

K KalshiSports

Settles Nov 16, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Nashville vs Vegas

chance of YES56% -7.0pp in 24h

Price range (3d)

1–80%

24h volume

791.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

643.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$158K

84% on YES

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	NO	99¢	4,837	$5K
Nov 14, 12:56 AM ET	NO	77¢	2,386	$2K
Nov 14, 12:55 AM ET	NO	64¢	1,779	$1K
Nov 14, 12:55 AM ET	YES	54¢	4,346	$2K
Nov 14, 12:54 AM ET	YES	58¢	3,170	$2K
Nov 14, 12:53 AM ET	YES	49¢	3,147	$2K
Nov 14, 12:53 AM ET	YES	53¢	2,238	$1K
Nov 14, 12:50 AM ET	YES	53¢	9,000	$5K
Nov 14, 12:50 AM ET	NO	49¢	4,900	$2K
Nov 14, 12:50 AM ET	YES	53¢	3,105	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.