What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: OpenAI market share this week

chance of YES2% -18.5pp in 24h

Price range (2d)

1–68%

24h volume

9.5K

$1 contracts

Open interest

9.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$8K

0% on YES

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 10:54 PM ET	NO	99¢	4,000	$4K
Oct 30, 8:27 PM ET	NO	98¢	2,831	$3K
Oct 30, 9:32 AM ET	NO	94¢	1,154	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.