Will the number of calendar days on which an RTO-wide PJM Maximum Generation Emergency/Load Management Alert – Capacity Emergency – NERC EEA 1 was applicable in 2026 be above 20 days?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: How many PJM capacity emergency days will there be in 2026?

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chance of YES8% -12.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
7–30%
· 7d +27 pts
24h volume
4.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
15.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO82¢ 1,806$1K
NO82¢ 1,806$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.