What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: The Only Living Pickpocket in New York · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES100% +5.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

80–98%

24h volume

17.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

32.2K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$31K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 9:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	5,000	$5K
Oct 30, 9:09 AM ET	YES	97¢	6,249	$6K
Oct 30, 8:09 AM ET	YES	94¢	4,055	$4K
Oct 29, 5:43 PM ET	YES	94¢	1,350	$1K
Oct 29, 8:44 AM ET	YES	91¢	7,987	$7K
Oct 27, 7:03 PM ET	YES	91¢	1,340	$1K
Oct 27, 3:58 AM ET	YES	93¢	4,000	$4K
Oct 26, 2:56 PM ET	YES	88¢	1,297	$1K
Oct 25, 12:24 PM ET	YES	80¢	1,562	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.