What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: The Only Living Pickpocket in New York · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES96% +15.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

46–91%

· 7d +5 pts

24h volume

10.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

17.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$4K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 92100%16.9K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 1:52 AM ET	YES	66¢	2,079	$1K
Oct 29, 8:44 AM ET	YES	47¢	4,275	$2K
Oct 26, 7:14 PM ET	YES	64¢	1,689	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.