What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: The Only Living Pickpocket in New York · Rotten Tomatoes score

chance of YES5% -4.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

7–55%

· 7d -85 pts

24h volume

37.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

44.6K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

4¢ / 6¢

spread 2.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 5.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 92100%16.9K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 11:05 PM ET	NO	93¢	3,524	$3K
Oct 30, 7:16 PM ET	NO	93¢	1,200	$1K
Oct 30, 1:56 PM ET	NO	93¢	2,865	$3K
Oct 30, 12:01 PM ET	NO	96¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 30, 11:40 AM ET	NO	92¢	4,669	$4K
Oct 28, 1:46 AM ET	NO	94¢	2,502	$2K
Oct 27, 7:03 PM ET	NO	93¢	1,367	$1K
Oct 27, 10:52 AM ET	NO	88¢	3,300	$3K
Oct 25, 8:03 AM ET	NO	70¢	5,061	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.