What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Crypto

Arc

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (120d) 24h volume 111 Open interest 6.1K Event Who will launch a token this year?

38%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 56 days · High 80% · Low 3% · 7d +9.1pp · 30d -43.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.