What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 164 T tokens

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11

chance of YES80%

Price range (16h)

70–89%

24h volume

2.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 16h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.