Fraud (3+ times): What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026?
chance of YES78%
+11.5pp in 24h
Price range (4d)
3–77%
24h volume
19.6K
Open interest
12.9K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
hourly, 4dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
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Small Business74%9.1K
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Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 94¢ | 1,608 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.