Hormuz: What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026?
chance of YES74%
-4.5pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
1–79%
24h volume
12.9K
Open interest
8.2K
Large orders (14d)
$1K
Odds and volume
hourly, 3dLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Save America Act94%28.7K
Tariff (3+ times)86%28.5K
America First85%18.3K
Nuclear (3+ times)80%10.8K
China / Chinese78%8.9K
Fraud (3+ times)78%19.6K
Steel76%12.2K
Small Business74%9.1K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 97¢ | 1,237 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.