Event does not qualify: What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Dubuque, Iowa originally scheduled for November 1, 2026?
chance of YES2%
-0.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
2–78%
24h volume
77.7K
Open interest
34.7K
Bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0¢ | 3,613 | 3.0¢ | 182 |
| 1.0¢ | 3,434 | 4.0¢ | 2,214 |
| 5.0¢ | 2,003 | ||
| 6.0¢ | 124 | ||
| 7.0¢ | 313 |
Mid 2.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Save America Act92%28.6K
America First87%18.0K
Tariff (3+ times)84%28.0K
Canada / Canadian79%4.5K
Iran (5+ times)78%13.6K
Fraud (3+ times)76%19.2K
Nuclear (3+ times)76%10.2K
China / Chinese76%8.9K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 97¢ | 1,398 | $1K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 1,244 | $1K | |
| NO | 90¢ | 1,935 | $2K | |
| NO | 64¢ | 1,956 | $1K | |
| NO | 44¢ | 2,823 | $1K | |
| YES | 90¢ | 2,550 | $2K | |
| YES | 93¢ | 4,779 | $4K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.